CLARIDAS NEWS The world, seen clearly

SPORTS

We ranked the 284 qualifying skill-position players by 2025 PPR: the WR12-WR13 gap was 0.2 points, the QB12-QB13 gap was 30

Across the 284 qualifying players in four positions, the largest rank-12-to-13 step — the last-starter boundary in a standard 12-team single-QB PPR league — belonged to quarterback, not tight end.

The Facts

We ranked the 284 players who met the 2025 qualifying thresholds across the four skill positions by total PPR fantasy points, using season-aggregate data from nflverse. Qualifying thresholds: quarterbacks required at least 150 passing attempts (N=42); running backs at least 50 carries or 30 targets (N=69); wide receivers at least 30 targets (N=111); tight ends at least 20 targets (N=62). Totals are PPR points from the nflverse 2025 regular-season aggregate. The single-step drop from rank 12 to rank 13 at each position: - QB: 30.34 points (Baker Mayfield, 271.92 → Jaxson Dart, 241.58) - RB: 5.70 points (Javonte Williams, 242.80 → Josh Jacobs, 237.10) - TE: 3.60 points (Colston Loveland, 165.10 → George Kittle, 161.50) - WR: 0.20 points (Jameson Williams, 219.90 → Courtland Sutton, 219.70) Across 111 qualifying wide receivers, the gap from WR12 (Jameson Williams, 219.90) to WR24 (Jaylen Waddle, 194.12) was 25.78 PPR points. At running back, the descent from RB12 (Javonte Williams, 242.80) to RB24 (Zach Charbonnet, 181.40) covered 61.40 points — more than double the WR range over the same 12-rank span. The tight-end pool: Trey McBride (ARI, 315.90) finished 105.10 points above TE2 Kyle Pitts (210.80); from Pitts through TE12 Colston Loveland (165.10) the range contracted to 45.70 points. Among the 284 players who met these thresholds in the nflverse 2025 regular-season log, Christian McCaffrey led everyone at 416.60 PPR — 41.60 ahead of WR1 Puka Nacua (375.00) and 51.98 ahead of QB1 Josh Allen (364.62).

The Analysis

The following is analysis, not fact. The Sutton-Williams comparison at the WR boundary is a specific instrument for reading the full pool. Courtland Sutton drew 124 targets — 22 more than Jameson Williams — yet finished 0.20 points behind him. Both scored seven receiving touchdowns. Williams produced 100 more receiving yards on his fewer looks: 1,117 yards on 102 targets (10.95 per target) against Sutton's 1,017 on 124 (8.20 per target). Same touchdown count, 22 more targets, 100 fewer yards — and 0.20 points less. The 0.20-point margin is the net of several offsetting components, not any single one: Williams's 100-yard receiving edge (10.0 points) and his 12 rushing yards (1.2) ran just past Sutton's nine extra receptions (9.0) and a receiving two-point conversion (2.0). That near-tie carries the shape of the full WR tier — past rank 12, the pool compressed to where small, mixed differences across the scoring categories, not the tier structure the rankings are meant to capture, separated adjacent players speculative. The tight-end scarcity argument has a legitimate version in the 2025 data, but it lives at one address. McBride's 315.90 is 105.10 points above the field's next TE, and by any reasonable definition he occupied his own tier speculative. The 11 tight ends below him — Pitts (210.80) through Loveland (165.10) — occupied a 45.70- point range structurally similar to the WR depth pool after rank 12. George Kittle, who drew 69 targets in 11 games in 2025, finished 3.60 points outside the top 12 at TE. The post-McBride TE field did not form a second scarcity tier speculative. The quarterback pool contained the largest rank-12-to-13 gap of the four positions. In a standard 12-team league, where 12 of each position start, rank 12 is the last starter and rank 13 the first bench option — so that single step is the starter-boundary gap speculative. The QB12-to-QB13 single step (30.34 points) exceeded the combined 12-to-13 drops at the other three positions (5.70 + 3.60 + 0.20 = 9.50 points) by more than 20 points. Read the QB1-to-QB12 spread (92.70 points) against the QB12-to-QB24 spread (98.02 points): the 12-team starter tier was actually more compressed than the range below it. The tier break sat at a different address than it did at every other position, and in 2025 it was the largest rank-12-to-13 step of the four skill positions.

Room for Disagreement

A single season is a thin sample for tier-structure claims. Brock Bowers played 12 of 17 games and finished TE11 at 176.20 PPR; a full schedule could change his place in the TE range in a direction the total does not capture speculative. The qualifying thresholds applied here — 30 targets for WRs, 20 for TEs — affect pool composition; a stricter entry bar shrinks the sample and can widen or narrow gaps that look flat at broader thresholds. Jaxson Dart's QB13 finish reflects his Giants rookie season, which may not repeat, and the QB tier break's address could shift meaningfully if the group changes. The 0.20-point gap at WR12-WR13 is one season's reading; the same pair in a different year, or a different pair, could show a wider or narrower boundary. Injury, trade, and usage changes make single-year positional tier structure a fragile baseline.

Notable

How this was made. Models: Opus/Sonnet/Haiku pod. Publisher of Record: Unruly Labs LP. Published September 8, 2026.

Confidence. Every factual claim here is verified against a cited primary source. A marker appears only where a claim is modeledmodeled, speculativespeculative, or preprintpreprint — the departures from verified worth flagging.

Sources. nflverse stats_player_reg_2025 — 2025 NFL regular-season skill-position PPR aggregates (retrieved 2026-09-08 (SHA-256 of uncompressed CSV: aaa8559478dd8d58569c93e278239e70e9411e79ee649c99d8d506030cd42b12; frozen copy at .captures/stats_player_reg_2025.csv in repo))