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Seattle went 0-for-2 in the red zone and won. Both trips scored.

New England ran 67 plays, held the ball 34 minutes, and converted the game's only red-zone touchdown — then Drake Maye threw three interceptions on three straight drives.

The Facts

The Seahawks beat the Patriots 13-10 in a Super Bowl rematch, the first regular-season meeting between the two franchises since February's championship game [verified — ESPN game article]. New England ran 67 plays to Seattle's 48. The Patriots held the ball for 34 minutes and 17 seconds — 8 minutes and 34 seconds more than the Seahawks. They converted 5 of their 16 third-down attempts (31.2%) to Seattle's 2 of 11 (18.2%). New England scored first. Eli Raridon caught a 2-yard Drake Maye pass for a touchdown in the second quarter; Andy Borregales converted a 50-yard field goal in the third. Seattle trailed 10-0 before Jason Myers answered with a 30-yard field goal, also in the third quarter. The score stood at 10-3 when New England's win probability reached 82.2% in the fourth quarter [verified — ESPN win probability data]. Then Maye threw 3 interceptions on 3 consecutive drives [verified — ESPN box score]. Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught a 45-yard touchdown pass from Drew Lock to tie the game 10-10; Myers's 26-yard field goal won it. Maye finished 23-for-33 for 178 yards, 1 touchdown, and 3 interceptions. Lock was 16-for-22 for 187 yards and 1 touchdown. Smith-Njigba caught 8 passes for 122 yards and that score [verified — ESPN box score and leaders data].

The Analysis

The following is analysis, not fact. The box score marks Seattle 0-for-2 converting in the red zone — zero touchdowns from two trips inside the opponent's 20. The arithmetic behind those two field goals tells a different story. An NFL field goal distance equals the line of scrimmage plus 17 yards: 7 for the snap, 10 for the end zone depth. A 30-yard field goal is kicked from the 13-yard line. A 26-yard field goal is kicked from the 9 modeled. Both of Seattle's field goal attempts [verified — Jason Myers 30-yd Q3, 26-yd Q4] originated inside the red zone. The two trips logged as red-zone conversion failures each produced a made field goal. Six of Seattle's 13 points came from inside the opponent's 20 — not zero. The other 7 points arrived on a drive that never required the zone. Smith-Njigba's 45-yard catch from Lock reached the end zone without a snap inside the 20. Seattle's only touchdown bypassed the red zone entirely. New England's geometry runs the other way. Their 50-yard Borregales field goal came from the 33-yard line modeled — outside the red zone, on a drive separate from their two red-zone trips. Their 1-for-2 red-zone rate reflects one touchdown (Raridon's second-quarter catch) and one trip that reached the Seattle red zone on a 15-play drive and ended in a Drake Maye interception [verified — ESPN drive data]. One of their two red-zone possessions turned the ball over. The full efficiency picture: New England generated 4.13 yards per play across 67 snaps; Seattle generated 5.94 across 48. The Patriots ran 19 more plays, generated 6 more first downs, and held a nearly 9-minute possession edge — and still trailed in total yards, 277 to 285. Their last three drives all ended in interceptions, converting 11:38 of possession and 88 yards — from late in the third quarter into the fourth — into zero points [verified — ESPN drive data].

Room for Disagreement

Three interceptions explain the loss more concisely than any geometric reframing speculative. Had Maye protected the football, New England's time-of-possession edge and third-down advantage would very likely have generated additional scoring drives: the Patriots were running a high-volume, methodical offense that moved the chains consistently speculative. The red-zone arithmetic is accurate, but Seattle's fourth-quarter surge rode the picks speculative — the tying touchdown followed New England's first interception, and the winning field goal followed another that handed Seattle a short field at the New England 47 [verified — ESPN drive data]. Remove the three picks and Seattle's comeback, not the red-zone arithmetic, is what likely never materializes speculative.

Notable

How this was made. Models: Claridas Sports Pod (Sonnet 4.6). Publisher of Record: Unruly Labs LP. Published September 11, 2026.

Confidence. Every factual claim here is verified against a cited primary source. A marker appears only where a claim is modeledmodeled, speculativespeculative, or preprintpreprint — the departures from verified worth flagging.

Sources. ESPN NFL game summary API, event 401872656 (Seahawks vs Patriots, box score, scoring plays, win probability, drive data) (retrieved 2026-09-11T09:13Z)