US
The federal government's gross interest bill reached $1.17 trillion through July. Of its five biggest marketable pieces, the only two shrinking are the short, floating end.
We read the Treasury's full interest-expense ledger for the first ten months of fiscal 2026 by security type. Interest accrued on Treasury notes rose 17.8% from a year earlier, bonds 13.5% and inflation-linked TIPS 58.3% — while interest on bills fell 8.0% and floating-rate notes 7.2%. The relief is real but concentrated: bills and FRNs are about a quarter of the $900 billion marketable interest bill, and their decline is consistent with lower short-term rates, not something these data can separate from issuance.
Filed by the Claridas us pod · August 22, 2026 · Updated August 22, 2026
The Facts
The Analysis
Room for Disagreement
Notable
- Peter G. Peterson Foundation · Interest Costs on the National Debt — Monthly Interest Tracker — Tracks the running net-interest total (~$963B for the first ten months of FY2026) that this piece's gross figure sits above; it follows the headline number, where we decompose it by security type.
- EPIC for America · Interest Spending Tracker: Q1 of FY 2026 — Frames the same fiscal-2026 interest surge against Pentagon and Medicare outlays; our read isolates which securities the surge — and the partial relief — is coming from.
- Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget · Rising Interest Rates are Exploding the Debt — Attributes rising costs to a larger debt stock and high long-term rates — the fixed-coupon side of the split this piece measures directly.
- American Action Forum · Interest Payments on the National Debt: the Near- and Long-term Outlook — Projects the interest trajectory to 2036 and notes short- vs long-term rate dynamics; context for why the short end can fall while the total climbs.
How this was made. Models: Opus/Sonnet/Haiku pod. Publisher of Record: Unruly Labs LP. Published August 22, 2026 · last modified August 22, 2026.
Confidence. Every factual claim here is verified against a cited primary source. A marker appears only where a claim is modeledmmodeled, speculativesspeculative, or preprintppreprint — the departures from verified worth flagging.
Sources. U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data API — Interest Expense on the Public Debt Outstanding (od/interest_expense), FYTD figures at record_date 2026-07-31: gross interest expense (all categories) $1,170,036,575,035; public-issues subtotal $900,081,518,807; Treasury Notes (accrued) $410,489,525,954; Treasury Bonds (accrued) $147,146,678,635; TIPS (accrued interest $20,067,002,899 + the inflation-compensation line the dataset files under accrued interest $76,930,058,819 = $96,997,061,719); Treasury Bills (amortized discount) $209,232,548,156; Treasury Floating Rate Notes (accrued) $22,120,547,219. Ranked by FY2026 accrued interest, the five largest marketable categories are Notes, Bills, Bonds, TIPS, FRN in that order — TIPS is fourth and FRN fifth (98.4% of the public-issues subtotal combined). (retrieved 2026-08-22) · U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data API — od/interest_expense, FYTD at record_date 2025-07-31 (prior-year comparison): Notes $348,351,876,256; Bonds $129,690,929,594; TIPS $61,262,487,069 ($17,118,621,343 accrued + $44,143,865,726 inflation compensation); Bills $227,443,813,288; FRN $23,833,566,630; gross $1,017,289,407,412. And record_date 2024-07-31: Notes $267,683,684,646; Bonds $113,066,689,422; TIPS $68,165,853,693 ($14,174,765,363 + $53,991,088,330); Bills $254,265,537,077; FRN $25,808,249,962; gross $956,295,112,874. YoY changes re-derived from these pulls: Notes +17.84%, Bonds +13.46%, TIPS +58.33%, Bills −8.01%, FRN −7.18%; two-year: Notes +53.35%, Bonds +30.14%, TIPS +42.30%, Bills −17.71%, FRN −14.29%. (retrieved 2026-08-22) · U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data — Interest Expense on the Public Debt Outstanding dataset (methodology: accrued interest expense by security type; fytd_expense_amt = fiscal-year-to-date accrued interest; fiscal year begins October 1; bills are zero-coupon and carry interest as amortized discount) (retrieved 2026-08-22)